Slutsk 0-1 ML Vitebsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.65
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
46%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.6
Over 2.5
42%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.16
No
60%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.39
2-3 Goals
36%
1.72
4-5 Goals
22%
4.44
6+ Goals
7%
24.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
34%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS No — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
19%
+10.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.9pp
46%
Away Win
55%
-9.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.6pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.6pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slutsk EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY ML Vitebsk EU Bookmakers 59%
+12% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+27% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
229 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 393 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slutsk
0-1
AWAY ML Vitebsk
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Slutsk vs ML Vitebsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ML Vitebsk squeezed past Slutsk 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had ML Vitebsk as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Slutsk had 45% of the ball to ML Vitebsk's 55%, shots finished 7-15.

What was the final score of Slutsk vs ML Vitebsk?

Slutsk 0-1 ML Vitebsk in the Belarus - Premier League on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slutsk vs ML Vitebsk?

Before kick-off our model rated an ML Vitebsk win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Slutsk 29%, draw 25%, ML Vitebsk 46%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ML Vitebsk), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (ML Vitebsk) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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