Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 1-1 Dinamo Brest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.75
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
47%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.67
Over 2.5
38%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.96
No
59%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
40%
2.57
2-3 Goals
33%
1.71
4-5 Goals
16%
4.08
6+ Goals
11%
20.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.57 — our 40% vs market 31.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
25%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
23%
+3.8pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
47%
Away Win
50%
-3.9pp
62%
Under 2.5
56%
+6.0pp
38%
Over 2.5
44%
-6.0pp
41%
BTTS Yes
47%
-6.0pp
59%
BTTS No
53%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Brest EU Bookmakers 55%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -30%
1.21/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.51
+9% / +66% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -40%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
237 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Dinamo Brest
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
22.09.2024 Dinamo Brest Dinamo Brest 2-1 HT 2-0 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk BLR
28.07.2024 Dinamo Brest Dinamo Brest 4-1 HT 2-1 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk BLRK
04.05.2024 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 0-2 HT 0-0 Dinamo Brest Dinamo Brest BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
1-1
AWAY Dinamo Brest
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 20
8 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk vs Dinamo Brest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk and Dinamo Brest shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Dinamo Brest at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk had 45% of the ball to Dinamo Brest's 55%, shots finished 10-20.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Dinamo Brest led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk and 2.67 for Dinamo Brest.

What was the final score of Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk vs Dinamo Brest?

Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 1-1 Dinamo Brest in the Belarus - Premier League on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk vs Dinamo Brest?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dinamo Brest win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 27%, draw 26%, Dinamo Brest 47%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Dinamo Brest), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dinamo Brest) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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