Dinamo Brest 4-1 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Cup, 28 Jul 2024

📅28/07/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.66
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
56%
-9.1pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.2pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo Brest EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk EU Bookmakers 24%
-28% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +34% / +34%
0.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.27/1.45
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -7%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
342 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dinamo Brest
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
04.05.2024 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 0-2 HT 0-0 Dinamo Brest Dinamo Brest BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dinamo Brest
4-1
AWAY Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 8
12 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dinamo Brest vs Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Brest cruised past Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Dinamo Brest as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Dinamo Brest had 58% of the ball to Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk's 42%, shots finished 15-8.

What was the final score of Dinamo Brest vs Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk?

Dinamo Brest 4-1 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk in the Belarus - Cup on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinamo Brest vs Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dinamo Brest win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Brest 47%, draw 28%, Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 26%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dinamo Brest), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dinamo Brest) ✓ BTTS Yes
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