Dnepr Mogilev 0-1 Isloch Minsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Cup, 28 Jul 2024

📅28/07/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.17
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
44%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
No
56%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
20%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
28%
+0.8pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.3pp
44%
Away Win
43%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dnepr Mogilev EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Isloch Minsk EU Bookmakers 46%
-44% / -44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.92/1.52
-100% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +85% / -42%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
273 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dnepr Mogilev
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Isloch Minsk
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
30.06.2024 Isloch Minsk Isloch Minsk 1-1 HT 0-0 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev BLR
15.10.2022 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev 0-2 HT 0-1 Isloch Minsk Isloch Minsk BLR
27.05.2022 Isloch Minsk Isloch Minsk 3-2 HT 0-0 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dnepr Mogilev
0-1
AWAY Isloch Minsk
35% Ball Possession 65%
6 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dnepr Mogilev vs Isloch Minsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Isloch Minsk nicked a narrow win over Dnepr Mogilev 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Isloch Minsk as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Dnepr Mogilev had 35% of the ball to Isloch Minsk's 65%, shots finished 6-17.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Isloch Minsk led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Dnepr Mogilev and 2.00 for Isloch Minsk.

What was the final score of Dnepr Mogilev vs Isloch Minsk?

Dnepr Mogilev 0-1 Isloch Minsk in the Belarus - Cup on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dnepr Mogilev vs Isloch Minsk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Isloch Minsk win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Dnepr Mogilev 29%, draw 27%, Isloch Minsk 44%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Isloch Minsk), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Isloch Minsk) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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