Isloch Minsk 1-1 Dnepr Mogilev — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 30 Jun 2024

📅30/06/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.49
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
22%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.86
Over 2.5
54%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
4%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
63%
-8.6pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.1pp
21%
Away Win
15%
+6.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
50%
-4.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
50%
+4.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.6pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Isloch Minsk EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Dnepr Mogilev EU Bookmakers 18%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.79/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/3.52
-7% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / -52%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
373 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Isloch Minsk
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Dnepr Mogilev
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
57% Ball Possession 42%
22 Total Shots 8
12 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
15.10.2022 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev 0-2 HT 0-1 Isloch Minsk Isloch Minsk BLR
27.05.2022 Isloch Minsk Isloch Minsk 3-2 HT 0-0 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Isloch Minsk
1-1
AWAY Dnepr Mogilev
61% Ball Possession 39%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Isloch Minsk vs Dnepr Mogilev
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Isloch Minsk and Dnepr Mogilev couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Isloch Minsk at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Isloch Minsk had 61% of the ball to Dnepr Mogilev's 39%, shots finished 10-15.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Isloch Minsk had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Isloch Minsk and 1.00 for Dnepr Mogilev.

What was the final score of Isloch Minsk vs Dnepr Mogilev?

Isloch Minsk 1-1 Dnepr Mogilev in the Belarus - Premier League on 30/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Isloch Minsk vs Dnepr Mogilev?

Before kick-off our model rated a Isloch Minsk win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Isloch Minsk 54%, draw 24%, Dnepr Mogilev 21%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Isloch Minsk) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BLR More Belarus - Premier League
30 Jun 2024
16:00 Slutsk vs FC Minsk Analysis →
20:00 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk vs Naftan Novopolotsk Analysis →