Naestved 1-3 Frem — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.8
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
34%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
1.75
Over
53%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
55%
1.88
No
45%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2.79
2-3
41%
1.72
4-5
23%
3.74
6+
12%
16.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
16%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
52%
-8.8pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.2pp
35%
Away Win
24%
+11.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
53%
-6.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
47%
+6.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
49%
+5.6pp
45%
BTTS No
51%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naestved EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Frem EU Bookmakers 27%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -9%
2.44/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.83
+63% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -27%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
385 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naestved
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Frem
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
07.09.2024 Frem Frem 1-1 HT 1-0 Naestved Naestved DAN2
09.08.2023 Frem Frem 0-1 HT 0-1 Naestved Naestved DAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Naestved
1-3
AWAY Frem
57% Ball Possession 43%
9 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Naestved vs Frem
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Frem saw off Naestved 3-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Naestved at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Naestved had 57% of the ball to Frem's 43%, shots finished 9-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Naestved had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Naestved and 0.50 for Frem.

What was the final score of Naestved vs Frem?

Naestved 1-3 Frem in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naestved vs Frem?

Before kick-off our model rated a Naestved win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Naestved 43%, draw 23%, Frem 35%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Naestved) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Naestved) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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