Frem 1-1 Naestved — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
42%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.9
Over 2.5
45%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.73
No
55%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
3.27
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.61
6+ Goals
8%
14.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.27 — our 34% vs market 25.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
+0.1pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.6pp
42%
Away Win
41%
+1.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
49%
+6.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
51%
-6.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
54%
-9.0pp
55%
BTTS No
46%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Frem EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Naestved EU Bookmakers 45%
+6% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.24/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/1.48
-4% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -66% / -10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
321 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Frem
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Naestved
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
09.08.2023 Frem Frem 0-1 HT 0-1 Naestved Naestved DAK
POST-MATCH Frem vs Naestved
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Frem and Naestved shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Naestved at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

What was the final score of Frem vs Naestved?

Frem 1-1 Naestved in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Frem vs Naestved?

Before kick-off our model rated an Naestved win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Frem 34%, draw 24%, Naestved 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Naestved), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Naestved) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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