Middelfart 1-2 Ishoj — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.42
Draw
25%
4.34
Away
20%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.18
Over 2.5
47%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.23
2-3 Goals
41%
1.87
4-5 Goals
22%
3.01
6+ Goals
10%
9.26
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.23 — our 27% vs market 18.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
66%
-10.5pp
25%
Draw
20%
+4.8pp
20%
Away Win
14%
+5.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
42%
+10.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
58%
-10.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.5pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Middelfart EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Ishoj EU Bookmakers 17%
-7% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
1.86/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/2.49
-9% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% / -24%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
430 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Middelfart
1-2
AWAY Ishoj
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Middelfart vs Ishoj
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ishoj nicked a narrow win over Middelfart 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Middelfart at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Middelfart had 54% of the ball to Ishoj's 46%, shots finished 11-12.

What was the final score of Middelfart vs Ishoj?

Middelfart 1-2 Ishoj in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Middelfart vs Ishoj?

Before kick-off our model rated a Middelfart win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Middelfart 56%, draw 25%, Ishoj 20%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Middelfart) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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