Aarhus Fremad 1-0 Hellerup IK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.49
Draw
27%
4.08
Away
23%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.23
Over 2.5
47%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.7
No
54%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
4.6
2-3 Goals
39%
1.9
4-5 Goals
23%
2.87
6+ Goals
9%
8.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.6 — our 29% vs market 16.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
63%
-13.2pp
27%
Draw
21%
+6.1pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+7.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
41%
+12.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
59%
-12.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
55%
-8.9pp
54%
BTTS No
45%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aarhus Fremad EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Hellerup IK EU Bookmakers 20%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +6%
2.11/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.91
+5% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -1%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
372 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aarhus Fremad
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Hellerup IK
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.11.2023 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad 3-2 HT 0-1 Hellerup IK Hellerup IK DAN2
30.09.2023 Hellerup IK Hellerup IK 3-3 HT 0-1 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad DAN2
19.11.2022 Hellerup IK Hellerup IK 1-3 HT 0-2 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad DAN2
15.10.2022 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad 2-1 HT 0-1 Hellerup IK Hellerup IK DAN2
26.03.2022 Hellerup IK Hellerup IK 2-1 HT 1-1 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad DAN2
09.10.2021 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad 4-1 HT 1-1 Hellerup IK Hellerup IK DAN2
POST-MATCH Aarhus Fremad vs Hellerup IK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aarhus Fremad nicked a narrow win over Hellerup IK 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Aarhus Fremad as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aarhus Fremad had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Aarhus Fremad and 1.67 for Hellerup IK.

What was the final score of Aarhus Fremad vs Hellerup IK?

Aarhus Fremad 1-0 Hellerup IK in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aarhus Fremad vs Hellerup IK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aarhus Fremad win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Aarhus Fremad 49%, draw 27%, Hellerup IK 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aarhus Fremad), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Aarhus Fremad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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