Akademisk BK 1-1 Thisted — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.45
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
26%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.8
Over 2.5
51%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.13
No
50%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.06
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
25%
3.82
6+ Goals
12%
16.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
65%
-15.2pp
25%
Draw
21%
+3.9pp
26%
Away Win
15%
+11.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
43%
+6.8pp
50%
BTTS No
57%
-6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Akademisk BK EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Thisted EU Bookmakers 18%
-9% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -8%
1.76/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/2.14
-14% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -12%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
332 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Akademisk BK
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Thisted
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.10.2023 Thisted Thisted 0-1 HT 0-0 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK DAN2
30.09.2023 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK 2-1 HT 1-1 Thisted Thisted DAN2
20.11.2022 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK 2-1 HT 0-0 Thisted Thisted DAN2
15.10.2022 Thisted Thisted 1-2 HT 1-0 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK DAN2
20.03.2022 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK 0-1 HT 0-0 Thisted Thisted DAN2
14.08.2021 Thisted Thisted 1-6 HT 1-2 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK DAN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Akademisk BK
1-1
AWAY Thisted
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Akademisk BK vs Thisted
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Akademisk BK and Thisted shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Akademisk BK at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Akademisk BK had 49% of the ball to Thisted's 51%, shots finished 15-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Akademisk BK had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Akademisk BK and 0.83 for Thisted.

What was the final score of Akademisk BK vs Thisted?

Akademisk BK 1-1 Thisted in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Akademisk BK vs Thisted?

Before kick-off our model rated a Akademisk BK win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Akademisk BK 49%, draw 25%, Thisted 26%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Akademisk BK) ✗ Over 2.5
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