PSIS Semarang 1-2 Madura United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 16 Mar 2025

PSIS Semarang
1-2 HT 0-1
Madura United
📅16/03/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Indonesia League 1 – 2024/2025

PSIS Semarang vs Madura United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.47
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
37%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.82
Over 2.5
40%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Under 2.5 — 60% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-1.4pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.2pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+1.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
51%
+8.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
49%
-8.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.1pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

PSIS Semarang v Madura United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSIS Semarang EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Madura United EU Bookmakers 39%
-12% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +8%
1.26/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/1.24
-1% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
284 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

PSIS Semarang vs Madura United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSIS Semarang
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Madura United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
6 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
320 Passes 332
The Meetings
23.10.2024 Madura United Madura United 2-0 HT 1-0 PSIS Semarang PSIS Semarang ENDL1
16.12.2023 PSIS Semarang PSIS Semarang 2-2 HT 1-1 Madura United Madura United ENDL1
05.12.2022 Madura United Madura United 0-3 HT 0-0 PSIS Semarang PSIS Semarang ENDL1
28.01.2022 Madura United Madura United 2-1 HT 2-1 PSIS Semarang PSIS Semarang ENDL1
29.09.2021 PSIS Semarang PSIS Semarang 0-0 HT 0-0 Madura United Madura United ENDL1
17.12.2019 PSIS Semarang PSIS Semarang 2-3 HT 1-2 Madura United Madura United ENDL1
POST-MATCH PSIS Semarang vs Madura United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Madura United nicked a narrow win over PSIS Semarang 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 28% / 37% — and on the day Madura United made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Madura United led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for PSIS Semarang and 1.50 for Madura United.

What was the final score of PSIS Semarang vs Madura United?

PSIS Semarang 1-2 Madura United in the Indonesia League 1 on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSIS Semarang vs Madura United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Madura United win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split PSIS Semarang 35%, draw 28%, Madura United 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Madura United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Madura United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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