Madura United 2-0 PSIS Semarang — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 23 Oct 2024

📅23/10/2024 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.92
Draw
35%
3.28
Away
23%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.67
Over 2.5
38%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.9
No
57%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
19%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
48%
-5.4pp
35%
Draw
27%
+7.9pp
23%
Away Win
25%
-2.4pp
62%
Under 2.5
56%
+5.4pp
38%
Over 2.5
44%
-5.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.3pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Madura United EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY PSIS Semarang EU Bookmakers 29%
-21% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -5%
1.52/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/0.93
+0% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +52%
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
308 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Madura United
2W-2D-1L
AWAY PSIS Semarang
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
46% Ball Possession 54%
4 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
332 Passes 320
16.12.2023 PSIS Semarang PSIS Semarang 2-2 HT 1-1 Madura United Madura United ENDL1
05.12.2022 Madura United Madura United 0-3 HT 0-0 PSIS Semarang PSIS Semarang ENDL1
28.01.2022 Madura United Madura United 2-1 HT 2-1 PSIS Semarang PSIS Semarang ENDL1
29.09.2021 PSIS Semarang PSIS Semarang 0-0 HT 0-0 Madura United Madura United ENDL1
17.12.2019 PSIS Semarang PSIS Semarang 2-3 HT 1-2 Madura United Madura United ENDL1
POST-MATCH Madura United vs PSIS Semarang
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Madura United got the better of PSIS Semarang 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Madura United as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Madura United had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Madura United and 1.60 for PSIS Semarang.

What was the final score of Madura United vs PSIS Semarang?

Madura United 2-0 PSIS Semarang in the Indonesia League 1 on 23/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Madura United vs PSIS Semarang?

Before kick-off our model rated a Madura United win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Madura United 42%, draw 35%, PSIS Semarang 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Madura United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Madura United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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