FC Kuressaare 1-2 Harju Jalgpallikool — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.53
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
35%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.0
Over 2.5
45%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.61
No
51%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
36%
+4.0pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.3pp
35%
Away Win
38%
-2.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
46%
+8.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
54%
-8.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.0pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Kuressaare EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Harju Jalgpallikool EU Bookmakers 42%
+12% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+24% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
289 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Kuressaare
0W-4D-0L
AWAY Harju Jalgpallikool
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
04.11.2023 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 1-1 HT 0-1 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool EST1
01.07.2023 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool 1-1 HT 1-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
23.05.2023 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool 1-1 HT 1-1 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
07.03.2023 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 1-1 HT 0-0 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Kuressaare
1-2
AWAY Harju Jalgpallikool
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH FC Kuressaare vs Harju Jalgpallikool
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Harju Jalgpallikool squeezed past FC Kuressaare 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 35%) promised a tight game; Harju Jalgpallikool found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FC Kuressaare had 46% of the ball to Harju Jalgpallikool's 54%, shots finished 13-12.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FC Kuressaare and 1.00 for Harju Jalgpallikool.

What was the final score of FC Kuressaare vs Harju Jalgpallikool?

FC Kuressaare 1-2 Harju Jalgpallikool in the Estonia - Premium League on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Kuressaare vs Harju Jalgpallikool?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Kuressaare win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split FC Kuressaare 40%, draw 25%, Harju Jalgpallikool 35%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FC Kuressaare) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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