Nomme JK Kalju 2-2 JK Tammeka Tartu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
30%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.18
Over 2.5
54%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
57%
-11.5pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.4pp
30%
Away Win
20%
+10.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
42%
+4.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
58%
-4.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.9pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nomme JK Kalju EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY JK Tammeka Tartu EU Bookmakers 23%
+5% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +2%
2.56/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.75
+59% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
402 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nomme JK Kalju
4W-2D-0L
AWAY JK Tammeka Tartu
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
29.09.2024 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 2-3 HT 1-3 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
27.07.2024 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 3-0 HT 3-0 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
28.06.2024 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 1-1 HT 1-1 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
03.05.2024 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 4-2 HT 3-2 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
23.09.2023 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 4-1 HT 1-1 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
13.08.2023 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 1-1 HT 1-0 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nomme JK Kalju
2-2
AWAY JK Tammeka Tartu
64% Ball Possession 36%
29 Total Shots 13
13 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nomme JK Kalju vs JK Tammeka Tartu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nomme JK Kalju and JK Tammeka Tartu couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Nomme JK Kalju at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Nomme JK Kalju had 64% of the ball to JK Tammeka Tartu's 36%, shots finished 29-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nomme JK Kalju had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Nomme JK Kalju and 1.17 for JK Tammeka Tartu.

What was the final score of Nomme JK Kalju vs JK Tammeka Tartu?

Nomme JK Kalju 2-2 JK Tammeka Tartu in the Estonia - Premium League on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nomme JK Kalju vs JK Tammeka Tartu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nomme JK Kalju win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Nomme JK Kalju 45%, draw 25%, JK Tammeka Tartu 30%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nomme JK Kalju) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nomme JK Kalju) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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