Mouloudia Oujda 2-1 Racing De Casablanca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - Botola 2, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
2.02
Draw
23%
3.04
Away
25%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
Over 2.5
37%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.19
No
59%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
46%
+6.4pp
23%
Draw
29%
-6.1pp
25%
Away Win
25%
-0.3pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.1pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mouloudia Oujda EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Racing De Casablanca EU Bookmakers 29%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -16%
1.98/0.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.42/1.12
+66% / +130% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / -3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
286 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mouloudia Oujda
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Racing De Casablanca
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
04.04.2024 Mouloudia Oujda Mouloudia Oujda 2-2 HT 1-0 Racing De Casablanca Racing De Casablanca FASK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mouloudia Oujda
2-1
AWAY Racing De Casablanca
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mouloudia Oujda vs Racing De Casablanca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mouloudia Oujda nicked a narrow win over Racing De Casablanca 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Mouloudia Oujda as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mouloudia Oujda had 57% of the ball to Racing De Casablanca's 43%, shots finished 15-8.

What was the final score of Mouloudia Oujda vs Racing De Casablanca?

Mouloudia Oujda 2-1 Racing De Casablanca in the Morocco - Botola 2 on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mouloudia Oujda vs Racing De Casablanca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mouloudia Oujda win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Mouloudia Oujda 52%, draw 23%, Racing De Casablanca 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mouloudia Oujda) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mouloudia Oujda) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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