Raja Beni Mellal 1-0 Wydad Fes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - Botola 2, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.02
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
20%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
Over 2.5
35%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.53
No
64%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 65%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
46%
+3.4pp
32%
Draw
29%
+2.2pp
20%
Away Win
25%
-5.6pp
36%
BTTS Yes
36%
+0.4pp
64%
BTTS No
64%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Raja Beni Mellal EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Wydad Fes EU Bookmakers 29%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.94/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/0.92
+66% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +19%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
280 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Raja Beni Mellal
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Wydad Fes
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
50% Ball Possession 50%
5 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 7
10.11.2024 Wydad Fes Wydad Fes 0-2 HT 0-0 Raja Beni Mellal Raja Beni Mellal FAS2
18.02.2024 Raja Beni Mellal Raja Beni Mellal 5-0 HT 1-0 Wydad Fes Wydad Fes FAS2
18.09.2023 Wydad Fes Wydad Fes 2-1 HT 1-1 Raja Beni Mellal Raja Beni Mellal FAS2
10.04.2023 Raja Beni Mellal Raja Beni Mellal 2-1 HT 1-0 Wydad Fes Wydad Fes FAS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Raja Beni Mellal
1-0
AWAY Wydad Fes
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Raja Beni Mellal vs Wydad Fes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Raja Beni Mellal squeezed past Wydad Fes 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Raja Beni Mellal as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (64%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Raja Beni Mellal had 52% of the ball to Wydad Fes's 48%, shots finished 15-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Raja Beni Mellal had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Raja Beni Mellal and 0.75 for Wydad Fes.

What was the final score of Raja Beni Mellal vs Wydad Fes?

Raja Beni Mellal 1-0 Wydad Fes in the Morocco - Botola 2 on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Raja Beni Mellal vs Wydad Fes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Raja Beni Mellal win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Raja Beni Mellal 49%, draw 32%, Wydad Fes 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Raja Beni Mellal), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Raja Beni Mellal) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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