Heart of Lions 1-0 Karela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Gana - Premier League, 16 Mar 2025

Heart of Lions
1-0
Karela
📅16/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Gana - Premier League – 2024/2025

Heart of Lions vs Karela Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.66
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
16%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
72%
Over 2.5
28%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
30%
3.05
No
70%
1.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
46%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
22%
2/1
8%
2/2
3%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
56%
-2.1pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.4pp
16%
Away Win
15%
+0.7pp
30%
BTTS Yes
29%
+1.2pp
70%
BTTS No
71%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Heart of Lions v Karela — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Heart of Lions EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Karela EU Bookmakers 18%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +3%
0.81/0.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.42
-36% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / -18%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
305 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 69%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
0.7 Yellow Cards 2.4

Heart of Lions vs Karela Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Heart of Lions
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Karela
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
07.04.2024 Karela 1-0 Heart of Lions Heart of Lions GANA
POST-MATCH Heart of Lions vs Karela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Heart of Lions squeezed past Karela 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Heart of Lions as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (72%), no to both teams scoring (70%) came in.

What was the final score of Heart of Lions vs Karela?

Heart of Lions 1-0 Karela in the Gana - Premier League on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Heart of Lions vs Karela?

Before kick-off our model rated a Heart of Lions win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Heart of Lions 54%, draw 30%, Karela 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Heart of Lions), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Heart of Lions) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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