Croatia Zmijavci 3-1 Dubrava Zagreb — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒14:50 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.86
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
28%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.27
No
52%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
50%
-6.7pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.6pp
28%
Away Win
23%
+5.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
40%
+8.0pp
52%
BTTS No
60%
-8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Croatia Zmijavci EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Dubrava Zagreb EU Bookmakers 26%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.05/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.28
-31% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -5%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
319 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Croatia Zmijavci
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Dubrava Zagreb
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
19.10.2024 Dubrava Zagreb Dubrava Zagreb 0-1 HT 0-0 Croatia Zmijavci Croatia Zmijavci HIR2
20.04.2024 Dubrava Zagreb Dubrava Zagreb 1-1 HT 1-1 Croatia Zmijavci Croatia Zmijavci HIR2
25.11.2023 Dubrava Zagreb Dubrava Zagreb 2-1 HT 1-0 Croatia Zmijavci Croatia Zmijavci HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Croatia Zmijavci
3-1
AWAY Dubrava Zagreb
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Croatia Zmijavci vs Dubrava Zagreb
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Croatia Zmijavci got the better of Dubrava Zagreb 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Croatia Zmijavci as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Croatia Zmijavci had 50% of the ball to Dubrava Zagreb's 50%, shots finished 13-6.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Croatia Zmijavci and 1.00 for Dubrava Zagreb.

What was the final score of Croatia Zmijavci vs Dubrava Zagreb?

Croatia Zmijavci 3-1 Dubrava Zagreb in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Croatia Zmijavci vs Dubrava Zagreb?

Before kick-off our model rated a Croatia Zmijavci win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Croatia Zmijavci 43%, draw 29%, Dubrava Zagreb 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Croatia Zmijavci) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Croatia Zmijavci) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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