Dubrava Zagreb 0-1 Croatia Zmijavci — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.86
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
24%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.67
Over 2.5
48%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
50%
+1.9pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.2pp
24%
Away Win
24%
+0.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.1pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dubrava Zagreb EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Croatia Zmijavci EU Bookmakers 27%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.59/0.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.58
+14% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -17%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
376 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dubrava Zagreb
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Croatia Zmijavci
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
20.04.2024 Dubrava Zagreb Dubrava Zagreb 1-1 HT 1-1 Croatia Zmijavci Croatia Zmijavci HIR2
25.11.2023 Dubrava Zagreb Dubrava Zagreb 2-1 HT 1-0 Croatia Zmijavci Croatia Zmijavci HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dubrava Zagreb
0-1
AWAY Croatia Zmijavci
64% Ball Possession 36%
10 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Dubrava Zagreb vs Croatia Zmijavci
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Croatia Zmijavci nicked a narrow win over Dubrava Zagreb 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Dubrava Zagreb at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Dubrava Zagreb had 64% of the ball to Croatia Zmijavci's 36%, shots finished 10-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Dubrava Zagreb had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Dubrava Zagreb and 1.00 for Croatia Zmijavci.

What was the final score of Dubrava Zagreb vs Croatia Zmijavci?

Dubrava Zagreb 0-1 Croatia Zmijavci in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dubrava Zagreb vs Croatia Zmijavci?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dubrava Zagreb win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Dubrava Zagreb 52%, draw 24%, Croatia Zmijavci 24%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Dubrava Zagreb) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dubrava Zagreb) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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