Rudes 1-2 Dugopolje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒14:50 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.64
Draw
20%
3.54
Away
25%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.78
Over 2.5
44%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
1.96
No
64%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
3%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
57%
-2.2pp
20%
Draw
25%
-5.5pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+7.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.0pp
36%
BTTS Yes
47%
-10.6pp
64%
BTTS No
53%
+10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rudes EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Dugopolje EU Bookmakers 21%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.50/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.29
-7% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +14%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
418 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rudes
1-2
AWAY Dugopolje
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Rudes vs Dugopolje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dugopolje edged past Rudes 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Rudes at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rudes had 54% of the ball to Dugopolje's 46%, shots finished 15-11.

What was the final score of Rudes vs Dugopolje?

Rudes 1-2 Dugopolje in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rudes vs Dugopolje?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rudes win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Rudes 55%, draw 20%, Dugopolje 25%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Rudes) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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