Jarun 1-2 Radnik Sesvete — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.12
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.71
Over 2.5
47%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
44%
-4.5pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.9pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+2.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
55%
-2.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
45%
+2.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.6pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jarun EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Radnik Sesvete EU Bookmakers 32%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.39/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/0.96
-3% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +42%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
346 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jarun
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Radnik Sesvete
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.04.2024 Radnik Sesvete Radnik Sesvete 2-3 HT 0-1 Jarun Jarun HIR2
17.11.2023 Radnik Sesvete Radnik Sesvete 2-1 HT 2-0 Jarun Jarun HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jarun
1-2
AWAY Radnik Sesvete
62% Ball Possession 38%
7 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 1
6 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Jarun vs Radnik Sesvete
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Radnik Sesvete squeezed past Jarun 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 32%) promised a tight game; Radnik Sesvete found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Jarun had 62% of the ball to Radnik Sesvete's 38%, shots finished 7-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Jarun and 2.00 for Radnik Sesvete.

What was the final score of Jarun vs Radnik Sesvete?

Jarun 1-2 Radnik Sesvete in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jarun vs Radnik Sesvete?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jarun win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Jarun 39%, draw 29%, Radnik Sesvete 32%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Jarun), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Jarun) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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