Radnik Sesvete 2-3 Jarun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 19 Apr 2024

📅19/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.78
Over 2.5
42%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
-0.1pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.4pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-0.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.5pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Radnik Sesvete EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Jarun EU Bookmakers 34%
+39% / +39% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+69% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
309 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Radnik Sesvete
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Jarun
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
17.11.2023 Radnik Sesvete Radnik Sesvete 2-1 HT 2-0 Jarun Jarun HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Radnik Sesvete
2-3
AWAY Jarun
59% Ball Possession 41%
8 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Radnik Sesvete vs Jarun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jarun edged past Radnik Sesvete 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Radnik Sesvete at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Radnik Sesvete had 59% of the ball to Jarun's 41%, shots finished 8-15.

What was the final score of Radnik Sesvete vs Jarun?

Radnik Sesvete 2-3 Jarun in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 19/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Radnik Sesvete vs Jarun?

Before kick-off our model rated a Radnik Sesvete win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Radnik Sesvete 42%, draw 27%, Jarun 30%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Radnik Sesvete) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HIR2 More Croatia - 2.HNL
19 Apr 2024
18:00 Zrinski Jurjevac vs Bijelo Brdo Analysis →