Zrinski Jurjevac 1-0 Bijelo Brdo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 19 Apr 2024

📅19/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.47
Draw
32%
3.94
Away
20%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.67
Over 2.5
41%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.33
No
53%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
13%
X/1
25%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
64%
-15.3pp
32%
Draw
22%
+10.2pp
20%
Away Win
15%
+5.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
39%
+8.4pp
53%
BTTS No
61%
-8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zrinski Jurjevac EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Bijelo Brdo EU Bookmakers 18%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
2.67/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.51
+59% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +55% / -1%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
405 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.7 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zrinski Jurjevac
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Bijelo Brdo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
55% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 2
25.11.2023 Bijelo Brdo Bijelo Brdo 0-1 HT 0-0 Zrinski Jurjevac HIR2
09.09.2023 Zrinski Jurjevac 1-0 HT 1-0 Bijelo Brdo Bijelo Brdo HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zrinski Jurjevac
1-0
AWAY Bijelo Brdo
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Zrinski Jurjevac vs Bijelo Brdo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zrinski Jurjevac edged past Bijelo Brdo 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Zrinski Jurjevac as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Zrinski Jurjevac had 60% of the ball to Bijelo Brdo's 40%, shots finished 18-3.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Zrinski Jurjevac had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Zrinski Jurjevac and 0.00 for Bijelo Brdo.

What was the final score of Zrinski Jurjevac vs Bijelo Brdo?

Zrinski Jurjevac 1-0 Bijelo Brdo in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 19/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zrinski Jurjevac vs Bijelo Brdo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zrinski Jurjevac win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Zrinski Jurjevac 48%, draw 32%, Bijelo Brdo 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zrinski Jurjevac), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zrinski Jurjevac) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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