Southern District RSA 1-0 Hong Kong Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - Premier League, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.9
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.63
No
46%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
17%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-2.9pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.0pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+2.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.3pp
46%
BTTS No
43%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Southern District RSA EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Hong Kong Rangers EU Bookmakers 29%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
2.64/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.99
+56% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -18%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
294 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 4.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Southern District RSA
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Hong Kong Rangers
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
03.11.2024 Hong Kong Rangers Hong Kong Rangers 1-1 HT 1-0 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA HK1
13.04.2024 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA 1-0 HT 0-0 Hong Kong Rangers Hong Kong Rangers HK1
13.03.2024 Hong Kong Rangers Hong Kong Rangers 0-4 HT 0-1 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA HK1
29.04.2023 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA 1-2 HT 0-0 Hong Kong Rangers Hong Kong Rangers HONFK
22.04.2023 Hong Kong Rangers Hong Kong Rangers 1-0 HT 0-0 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA HK1
28.01.2023 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA 2-1 HT 2-1 Hong Kong Rangers Hong Kong Rangers HK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Southern District RSA
1-0
AWAY Hong Kong Rangers
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Southern District RSA vs Hong Kong Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Southern District RSA squeezed past Hong Kong Rangers 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Southern District RSA as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Southern District RSA had 42% of the ball to Hong Kong Rangers's 58%, shots finished 6-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Southern District RSA had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Southern District RSA and 0.83 for Hong Kong Rangers.

What was the final score of Southern District RSA vs Hong Kong Rangers?

Southern District RSA 1-0 Hong Kong Rangers in the Hong Kong - Premier League on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Southern District RSA vs Hong Kong Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Southern District RSA win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Southern District RSA 46%, draw 26%, Hong Kong Rangers 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Southern District RSA) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Southern District RSA) ✗ BTTS Yes
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16 Mar 2025
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