Utrecht (K) 1-1 Ajax (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie, 16 Mar 2025

Utrecht (K)
1-1 HT 1-1
Ajax (K)
📅16/03/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie – 2024/2025

Utrecht (K) vs Ajax (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
5.09
Draw
20%
4.34
Away
61%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
Over 2.5
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.7
No
57%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
7%
2/1
3%
2/2
36%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
16%
+3.0pp
20%
Draw
20%
+0.1pp
61%
Away Win
64%
-3.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
55%
-12.0pp
57%
BTTS No
45%
+12.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Utrecht (K) v Ajax (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Utrecht (K) EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Ajax (K) EU Bookmakers 69%
+30% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.70/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/1.00
+150% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -23%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
247 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 419 · 86%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
14.0 Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards –

Utrecht (K) vs Ajax (K) Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Utrecht (K)
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Ajax (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
269 Passes 422
70% Pass Accuracy 81%
13 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.11.2024 Ajax (K) Ajax (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Utrecht (K) Utrecht (K) HOLK1
10.03.2024 Utrecht (K) Utrecht (K) 0-2 HT 0-0 Ajax (K) Ajax (K) HOLK1

Utrecht (K) 1-1 Ajax (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Utrecht (K)
1-1
AWAY Ajax (K)
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 24
5 Shots on Target 10
1 Corners 15
261 Passes 243
74% Pass Accuracy 73%
17 Crosses 22
POST-MATCH Utrecht (K) vs Ajax (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Utrecht (K) and Ajax (K) couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Ajax (K) at 61% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Utrecht (K) had 51% of the ball to Ajax (K)'s 49%, shots finished 10-24.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ajax (K) led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Utrecht (K) and 1.50 for Ajax (K).

What was the final score of Utrecht (K) vs Ajax (K)?

Utrecht (K) 1-1 Ajax (K) in the Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Utrecht (K) vs Ajax (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ajax (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Utrecht (K) 19%, draw 20%, Ajax (K) 61%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ajax (K)), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ajax (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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