Manchester City U21 2-3 Crystal Palace U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 16 Mar 2025

Manchester City U21
2-3 HT 2-0
Crystal Palace U21
📅16/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
INGPL2 – 2024/2025

Manchester City U21 vs Crystal Palace U21 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.34
Draw
27%
4.95
Away
22%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
Over 2.5
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.46
No
41%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
39%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
12%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
70%
-18.4pp
27%
Draw
17%
+10.1pp
22%
Away Win
14%
+8.3pp
59%
BTTS Yes
64%
-5.6pp
41%
BTTS No
36%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Manchester City U21 v Crystal Palace U21 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manchester City U21 EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Crystal Palace U21 EU Bookmakers 17%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
2.94/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/3.60
+38% / +101% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / -40%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
407 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 77%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
12.4 Crosses 12.7
0.7 Yellow Cards 2.3

Manchester City U21 2-3 Crystal Palace U21 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manchester City U21
2-3
AWAY Crystal Palace U21
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
516 Passes 278
89% Pass Accuracy 78%
13 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Manchester City U21 vs Crystal Palace U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crystal Palace U21 squeezed past Manchester City U21 3-2 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Manchester City U21 at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Manchester City U21 had 61% of the ball to Crystal Palace U21's 39%, shots finished 12-10.

What was the final score of Manchester City U21 vs Crystal Palace U21?

Manchester City U21 2-3 Crystal Palace U21 in the INGPL2 on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manchester City U21 vs Crystal Palace U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Manchester City U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Manchester City U21 51%, draw 27%, Crystal Palace U21 22%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Manchester City U21) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Manchester City U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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