ThespaKusatsu Gunma 2-0 Gainare Tottori — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.74
Over 2.5
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-1.5pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.1pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+3.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-2.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+2.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.2pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ThespaKusatsu Gunma EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Gainare Tottori EU Bookmakers 32%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -6%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.54
-29% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -18%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
281 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.5 Crosses 12.8
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ThespaKusatsu Gunma
2-0
AWAY Gainare Tottori
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 5
441 Passes 309
84% Pass Accuracy 75%
20 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH ThespaKusatsu Gunma vs Gainare Tottori
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ThespaKusatsu Gunma got the better of Gainare Tottori 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had ThespaKusatsu Gunma as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, ThespaKusatsu Gunma had 59% of the ball to Gainare Tottori's 41%, shots finished 16-11.

What was the final score of ThespaKusatsu Gunma vs Gainare Tottori?

ThespaKusatsu Gunma 2-0 Gainare Tottori in the Japan - J3 League on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ThespaKusatsu Gunma vs Gainare Tottori?

Before kick-off our model rated a ThespaKusatsu Gunma win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split ThespaKusatsu Gunma 43%, draw 25%, Gainare Tottori 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ThespaKusatsu Gunma), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (ThespaKusatsu Gunma) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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