Tochigi City 3-2 Tegevajaro Miyazaki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
43%
-4.1pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.6pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+3.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.3pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tochigi City EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Tegevajaro Miyazaki EU Bookmakers 34%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +9%
0.99/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.26
-30% / +117% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
341 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
27.0 Crosses 19.1
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tochigi City
3-2
AWAY Tegevajaro Miyazaki
39% Ball Possession 61%
4 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
84 Passes 311
70% Pass Accuracy 73%
13 Crosses 37
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tochigi City vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tochigi City squeezed past Tegevajaro Miyazaki 3-2. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) promised a tight game; Tochigi City found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Tochigi City had 39% of the ball to Tegevajaro Miyazaki's 61%, shots finished 4-13.

What was the final score of Tochigi City vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki?

Tochigi City 3-2 Tegevajaro Miyazaki in the Japan - J3 League on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tochigi City vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tochigi City win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Tochigi City 39%, draw 27%, Tegevajaro Miyazaki 34%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tochigi City), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tochigi City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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