Leopards SC 1-1 Shabana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.86
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
23%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.6
No
55%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
50%
-5.4pp
32%
Draw
30%
+2.4pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+2.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
34%
+10.4pp
55%
BTTS No
66%
-10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leopards SC EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Shabana EU Bookmakers 23%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
0.96/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.99
-25% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +19%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
353 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 224 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leopards SC
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Shabana
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.11.2024 Shabana Shabana 2-1 HT 2-1 Leopards SC Leopards SC KEN
01.10.2023 Leopards SC Leopards SC 1-1 HT 1-1 Shabana Shabana KEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leopards SC
1-1
AWAY Shabana
56% Ball Possession 44%
7 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Leopards SC vs Shabana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leopards SC and Shabana couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Leopards SC at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Leopards SC had 56% of the ball to Shabana's 44%, shots finished 7-13.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Shabana led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Leopards SC and 1.50 for Shabana.

What was the final score of Leopards SC vs Shabana?

Leopards SC 1-1 Shabana in the Kenya - Premier League on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leopards SC vs Shabana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leopards SC win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Leopards SC 45%, draw 32%, Shabana 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Leopards SC), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Leopards SC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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