TransMara Sugar 0-0 Bidco United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.27
Draw
36%
2.88
Away
27%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.13
No
58%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
20%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 67%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-2.8pp
36%
Draw
31%
+4.9pp
27%
Away Win
29%
-2.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
43%
-1.0pp
58%
BTTS No
57%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME TransMara Sugar EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Bidco United EU Bookmakers 33%
+41% / +41% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.81/0.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/0.49
+96% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +87%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
286 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME TransMara Sugar
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Bidco United
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
03.11.2024 Bidco United Bidco United 0-2 HT 0-2 TransMara Sugar TransMara Sugar KEN
POST-MATCH TransMara Sugar vs Bidco United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

TransMara Sugar and Bidco United fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (37% / 36% / 27%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of TransMara Sugar vs Bidco United?

TransMara Sugar 0-0 Bidco United in the Kenya - Premier League on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for TransMara Sugar vs Bidco United?

Before kick-off our model rated a TransMara Sugar win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split TransMara Sugar 37%, draw 36%, Bidco United 27%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (TransMara Sugar) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (TransMara Sugar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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