Bidco United 0-2 TransMara Sugar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.53
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
32%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.51
Over 2.5
37%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.06
No
61%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
16%
X/X
18%
2/1
3%
2/2
12%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
36%
+5.2pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.3pp
32%
Away Win
34%
-1.9pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.9pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.0pp
39%
BTTS Yes
44%
-5.7pp
61%
BTTS No
56%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bidco United EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY TransMara Sugar EU Bookmakers 37%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
0.63/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
-19% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -16%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
267 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Bidco United vs TransMara Sugar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

TransMara Sugar got the better of Bidco United 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Bidco United at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Bidco United vs TransMara Sugar?

Bidco United 0-2 TransMara Sugar in the Kenya - Premier League on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bidco United vs TransMara Sugar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bidco United win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Bidco United 41%, draw 27%, TransMara Sugar 32%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Bidco United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bidco United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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