Mathare United 1-0 KCB Nairobi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.08
Draw
21%
2.94
Away
48%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.48
Over 2.5
42%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.16
No
63%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
19%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
26%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
29%
+2.2pp
21%
Draw
30%
-9.7pp
48%
Away Win
41%
+7.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
64%
-6.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
36%
+6.2pp
37%
BTTS Yes
42%
-5.2pp
63%
BTTS No
58%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mathare United EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY KCB Nairobi EU Bookmakers 45%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +42% / +42%
1.25/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/0.00
+48% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% /
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
217 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mathare United
0W-0D-1L
AWAY KCB Nairobi
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
04.01.2022 Mathare United Mathare United 0-1 HT 0-0 KCB Nairobi KCB Nairobi KEN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mathare United
1-0
AWAY KCB Nairobi
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mathare United vs KCB Nairobi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mathare United squeezed past KCB Nairobi 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was KCB Nairobi at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (63%) came in.

On the day, Mathare United had 40% of the ball to KCB Nairobi's 60%, shots finished 8-12.

What was the final score of Mathare United vs KCB Nairobi?

Mathare United 1-0 KCB Nairobi in the Kenya - Premier League on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mathare United vs KCB Nairobi?

Before kick-off our model rated an KCB Nairobi win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Mathare United 31%, draw 21%, KCB Nairobi 48%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (KCB Nairobi) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (KCB Nairobi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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