Shabana 0-1 Nairobi City Stars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
21%
3.11
Away
38%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.6
Over 2.5
58%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.95
No
43%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
10%
X/2
19%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-2.1pp
21%
Draw
29%
-7.9pp
38%
Away Win
28%
+10.0pp
42%
Under 2.5
59%
-16.8pp
58%
Over 2.5
41%
+16.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
47%
+9.8pp
43%
BTTS No
53%
-9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shabana EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Nairobi City Stars EU Bookmakers 32%
-59% / -59% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.37
-100% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +56% / -46%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
314 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shabana
0-1
AWAY Nairobi City Stars
53% Ball Possession 47%
6 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Shabana vs Nairobi City Stars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nairobi City Stars nicked a narrow win over Shabana 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (41% / 21% / 38%) promised a tight game; Nairobi City Stars found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Shabana had 53% of the ball to Nairobi City Stars's 47%, shots finished 6-4.

What was the final score of Shabana vs Nairobi City Stars?

Shabana 0-1 Nairobi City Stars in the Kenya - Premier League on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shabana vs Nairobi City Stars?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shabana win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Shabana 41%, draw 21%, Nairobi City Stars 38%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Shabana) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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