Zalgiris II 2-2 Babrungas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.17
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
46%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.0
Over 2.5
60%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.66
No
36%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
28%
+0.1pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.1pp
46%
Away Win
48%
-2.1pp
40%
Under 2.5
46%
-6.2pp
60%
Over 2.5
54%
+6.2pp
64%
BTTS Yes
56%
+7.4pp
36%
BTTS No
44%
-7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zalgiris II EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Babrungas EU Bookmakers 52%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.08/2.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.16/0.73
-19% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +30%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
281 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zalgiris II
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Babrungas
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.08.2023 Zalgiris II Zalgiris II 2-1 HT 1-1 Babrungas Babrungas LIT1
23.03.2023 Babrungas Babrungas 2-0 HT 0-0 Zalgiris II Zalgiris II LIT1
12.10.2022 Babrungas Babrungas 1-0 HT 0-0 Zalgiris II Zalgiris II LIT1
08.04.2022 Zalgiris II Zalgiris II 0-0 Babrungas Babrungas LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zalgiris II
2-2
AWAY Babrungas
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Zalgiris II vs Babrungas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zalgiris II and Babrungas couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2.

Our pre-match lean was Babrungas at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (64%) came in.

On the day, Zalgiris II had 57% of the ball to Babrungas's 43%, shots finished 10-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Babrungas led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Zalgiris II and 1.00 for Babrungas.

What was the final score of Zalgiris II vs Babrungas?

Zalgiris II 2-2 Babrungas in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zalgiris II vs Babrungas?

Before kick-off our model rated an Babrungas win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Zalgiris II 28%, draw 26%, Babrungas 46%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Babrungas) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Babrungas) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
LIT1 More Lithuania - 1st Division
16 Mar 2025
14:00 FA Siauliai II vs Tauras Taurage Analysis →
16:00 Hegelmann II vs Atmosfera Analysis →