Hegelmann II 1-1 Atmosfera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 16 Mar 2025

Hegelmann II
1-1
Atmosfera
📅16/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Lithuania - 1st Division – 2025

Hegelmann II vs Atmosfera Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.46
Draw
20%
3.45
Away
43%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.61
No
46%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
10%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
20%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
-0.3pp
20%
Draw
26%
-6.2pp
43%
Away Win
37%
+6.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+1.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-1.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.6pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hegelmann II v Atmosfera — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hegelmann II EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Atmosfera EU Bookmakers 40%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
0.74/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.50/1.65
-49% / +66% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +94% / -9%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
310 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
0.7 Yellow Cards 2.4

Hegelmann II vs Atmosfera Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hegelmann II
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Atmosfera
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
31.08.2024 Atmosfera Atmosfera 2-1 Hegelmann II LIT1
POST-MATCH Hegelmann II vs Atmosfera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hegelmann II and Atmosfera shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Atmosfera at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

What was the final score of Hegelmann II vs Atmosfera?

Hegelmann II 1-1 Atmosfera in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hegelmann II vs Atmosfera?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atmosfera win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Hegelmann II 37%, draw 20%, Atmosfera 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Atmosfera), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atmosfera) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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