Atmosfera 2-1 Hegelmann II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.33
Draw
22%
4.81
Away
17%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.38
Over 2.5
55%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
27%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
4%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
71%
-9.9pp
22%
Draw
18%
+4.5pp
17%
Away Win
12%
+5.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
38%
+6.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
62%
-6.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.0pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atmosfera EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Hegelmann II EU Bookmakers 15%
-40% / -40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
2.00/2.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.24/3.23
-9% / -59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -72% / -37%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
396 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atmosfera
2-1
AWAY Hegelmann II
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Atmosfera vs Hegelmann II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atmosfera squeezed past Hegelmann II 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Atmosfera as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Atmosfera had 58% of the ball to Hegelmann II's 42%, shots finished 18-11.

What was the final score of Atmosfera vs Hegelmann II?

Atmosfera 2-1 Hegelmann II in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atmosfera vs Hegelmann II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atmosfera win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Atmosfera 61%, draw 22%, Hegelmann II 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atmosfera), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atmosfera) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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