Garliava vs Minija Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Garliava v Minija — Team-Based Signals
Garliava vs Minija Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
2-0
Minija
LIT1
1-1
HT 0-1
Garliava
LIT1
0-1
HT 0-1
Garliava
LIT1
2-0
HT 0-0
Minija
LIT1
Garliava 4-2 Minija — Actual Match Statistics
Garliava beat Minija 4-2. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (38% / 23% / 39%) promised a tight game; Garliava found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Garliava had 43% of the ball to Minija's 57%, shots finished 11-4.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Garliava had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Garliava and 0.20 for Minija.
What was the final score of Garliava vs Minija?
Garliava 4-2 Minija in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Garliava vs Minija?
Before kick-off our model rated an Minija win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Garliava 38%, draw 23%, Minija 39%. The final score 4-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.