Ajka 2-3 Budapest Vasas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB II, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.32
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
42%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.71
Over 2.5
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
18%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
27%
+7.1pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.4pp
42%
Away Win
46%
-4.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.3pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ajka EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Budapest Vasas EU Bookmakers 50%
+13% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +0%
1.19/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.16
+8% / +57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +2%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
237 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ajka
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Budapest Vasas
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
30% Ball Possession 70%
4 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
01.09.2024 Budapest Vasas Budapest Vasas 3-2 HT 0-1 Ajka Ajka MAC2
10.03.2024 Budapest Vasas Budapest Vasas 0-0 HT 0-0 Ajka Ajka MAC2
03.09.2023 Ajka Ajka 1-2 HT 1-2 Budapest Vasas Budapest Vasas MAC2
12.12.2021 Ajka Ajka 2-2 HT 2-0 Budapest Vasas Budapest Vasas MAC2
01.08.2021 Budapest Vasas Budapest Vasas 2-1 HT 2-1 Ajka Ajka MAC2
11.04.2021 Budapest Vasas Budapest Vasas 2-1 HT 1-0 Ajka Ajka MAC2
POST-MATCH Ajka vs Budapest Vasas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Budapest Vasas nicked a narrow win over Ajka 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Budapest Vasas as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Budapest Vasas led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Ajka and 1.83 for Budapest Vasas.

What was the final score of Ajka vs Budapest Vasas?

Ajka 2-3 Budapest Vasas in the Hungary - NB II on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ajka vs Budapest Vasas?

Before kick-off our model rated an Budapest Vasas win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Ajka 34%, draw 25%, Budapest Vasas 42%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Budapest Vasas) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Budapest Vasas) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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