Tyumen 0-1 Baltika Kaliningrad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.13
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
50%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.51
Over 2.5
46%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.29
No
55%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
13%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
21%
+4.7pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.3pp
50%
Away Win
52%
-1.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
62%
-8.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
38%
+8.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
40%
+5.2pp
55%
BTTS No
60%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tyumen EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Baltika Kaliningrad EU Bookmakers 56%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +15%
0.70/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/0.52
-25% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +61%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
229 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 501 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tyumen
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Baltika Kaliningrad
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
3 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
09.09.2024 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad 2-1 HT 2-1 Tyumen Tyumen RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tyumen
0-1
AWAY Baltika Kaliningrad
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
FAQ Tyumen vs Baltika Kaliningrad
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Baltika Kaliningrad edged past Tyumen 1-0 away from home in the Russia - FNL on 16 Mar 2025. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 45%.

On the day, Tyumen had 44% of the ball to Baltika Kaliningrad's 56%, shots finished 8-12.

What was the final score of Tyumen vs Baltika Kaliningrad?

Tyumen 0-1 Baltika Kaliningrad in the Russia - FNL on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tyumen vs Baltika Kaliningrad?

Before kick-off our model rated an Baltika Kaliningrad win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Tyumen 25%, draw 24%, Baltika Kaliningrad 50%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Baltika Kaliningrad), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Baltika Kaliningrad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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