Ural 2-1 Chernomorets — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.0
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
24%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.51
Over 2.5
44%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.27
No
53%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
13%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
46%
+1.4pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.8pp
24%
Away Win
24%
-0.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
62%
-6.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
38%
+6.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
40%
+6.8pp
53%
BTTS No
60%
-6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ural EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Chernomorets EU Bookmakers 28%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +8%
0.49/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.07
-61% / +84% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
269 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ural
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Chernomorets
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
27.07.2024 Chernomorets Chernomorets 3-2 HT 3-1 Ural Ural RUS1
25.09.2019 Chernomorets Chernomorets 0-2 HT 0-0 Ural Ural RUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ural
2-1
AWAY Chernomorets
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 5
FAQ Ural vs Chernomorets
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Ural edged past Chernomorets 2-1 in the Russia - FNL on 16 Mar 2025. Half-time: 2-0.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 44% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Ural had 60% of the ball to Chernomorets's 40%, shots finished 11-7.

Across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours are even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Ural and 1.50 for Chernomorets.

What was the final score of Ural vs Chernomorets?

Ural 2-1 Chernomorets in the Russia - FNL on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ural vs Chernomorets?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ural win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Ural 48%, draw 29%, Chernomorets 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ural) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ural) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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