Chernomorets 3-2 Ural — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 27 Jul 2024

Chernomorets
3-2 HT 3-1
Ural
📅27/07/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Russia - FNL – 2024/2025

Chernomorets vs Ural Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.99
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
32%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.6
Over 2.5
43%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.96
No
48%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
30%
+6.2pp
32%
Draw
28%
+3.6pp
32%
Away Win
42%
-9.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.3pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chernomorets v Ural — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chernomorets EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Ural EU Bookmakers 46%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-30% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
309 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards –

Chernomorets vs Ural Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chernomorets
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Ural
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
The Meetings
25.09.2019 Chernomorets Chernomorets 0-2 HT 0-0 Ural Ural RUK

Chernomorets 3-2 Ural — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chernomorets
3-2
AWAY Ural
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Chernomorets vs Ural
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chernomorets edged past Ural 3-2. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 32% / 32%) promised a tight game; Chernomorets found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Chernomorets had 45% of the ball to Ural's 55%, shots finished 9-16.

What was the final score of Chernomorets vs Ural?

Chernomorets 3-2 Ural in the Russia - FNL on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chernomorets vs Ural?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chernomorets win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Chernomorets 36%, draw 32%, Ural 32%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chernomorets), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chernomorets) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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