Sokol Saratov 1-0 KAMAZ — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 27 Jul 2024

📅27/07/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.47
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
36%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.45
Over 2.5
35%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.16
No
60%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
22%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
37%
-4.2pp
32%
Draw
30%
+1.8pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+2.4pp
65%
Under 2.5
65%
+0.2pp
35%
Over 2.5
35%
-0.2pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.6pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sokol Saratov EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY KAMAZ EU Bookmakers 37%
+6% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
0.97/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.53
-10% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -29%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
304 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sokol Saratov
0W-1D-1L
AWAY KAMAZ
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.09.2023 Sokol Saratov Sokol Saratov 1-1 HT 1-0 KAMAZ KAMAZ RUS1
23.08.2015 KAMAZ KAMAZ 3-0 HT 0-0 Sokol Saratov Sokol Saratov RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sokol Saratov
1-0
AWAY KAMAZ
41% Ball Possession 59%
3 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sokol Saratov vs KAMAZ
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sokol Saratov edged past KAMAZ 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 32% / 35% — and on the day Sokol Saratov made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Sokol Saratov had 41% of the ball to KAMAZ's 59%, shots finished 3-7.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, KAMAZ led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Sokol Saratov and 2.00 for KAMAZ.

What was the final score of Sokol Saratov vs KAMAZ?

Sokol Saratov 1-0 KAMAZ in the Russia - FNL on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sokol Saratov vs KAMAZ?

Before kick-off our model rated an KAMAZ win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Sokol Saratov 32%, draw 32%, KAMAZ 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (KAMAZ) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (KAMAZ) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
RUS1 More Russia - FNL
27 Jul 2024
14:00 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk vs Torpedo Moscow Analysis →
19:30 Chernomorets vs Ural Analysis →