Inhulets 1-0 Chornomorets Odessa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.29
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
38%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.56
Over 2.5
40%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
23%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
28%
+7.0pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.8pp
38%
Away Win
44%
-6.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
60%
+0.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
40%
-0.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.6pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inhulets EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Chornomorets Odessa EU Bookmakers 48%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -35% / -38%
0.56/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.84
-47% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -53% / -47%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
319 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inhulets
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Chornomorets Odessa
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
14.09.2024 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa 1-0 HT 0-0 Inhulets Inhulets UKR
19.03.2023 Inhulets Inhulets 1-2 HT 0-2 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa UKR
04.09.2022 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa 1-1 HT 0-1 Inhulets Inhulets UKR
27.09.2021 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa 1-1 HT 1-0 Inhulets Inhulets UKR
POST-MATCH Inhulets vs Chornomorets Odessa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inhulets edged past Chornomorets Odessa 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 28% / 38% — and on the day Inhulets made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Chornomorets Odessa led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Inhulets and 1.25 for Chornomorets Odessa.

What was the final score of Inhulets vs Chornomorets Odessa?

Inhulets 1-0 Chornomorets Odessa in the Ukraine - Premier League on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inhulets vs Chornomorets Odessa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chornomorets Odessa win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Inhulets 35%, draw 28%, Chornomorets Odessa 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Chornomorets Odessa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chornomorets Odessa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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