Albacete 2-1 Las Palmas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 16 Mar 2026

Albacete
2-1 HT 0-1
Las Palmas
📅16/03/2026 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2025/2026

Albacete vs Las Palmas Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.57
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
39%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
1.64
Over
45%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2.57
2-3
38%
1.73
4-5
20%
4.24
6+
10%
21.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.14
1/2
7%
31.5
1/X
6%
13.35
X/1
10%
5.71
X/2
13%
5.38
X/X
16%
3.97
2/1
6%
33.0
2/2
19%
3.76
2/X
5%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 55% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
35%
-1.7pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.6pp
39%
Away Win
36%
+3.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
57%
-2.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
43%
+2.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.4pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Albacete v Las Palmas — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Albacete EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Las Palmas EU Bookmakers 40%
-4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +14%
1.54/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.07
+8% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +33%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
263 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 79%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
21.1 Crosses 15.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4

Albacete vs Las Palmas Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Albacete
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Las Palmas
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.25 xG 1.05
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
255 Passes 396
72% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
21.11.2025 Las Palmas Las Palmas 2-1 HT 2-0 Albacete Albacete İS2
03.04.2023 Albacete Albacete 1-2 HT 1-0 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS2
11.12.2022 Las Palmas Las Palmas 1-2 HT 0-1 Albacete Albacete İS2
24.05.2021 Las Palmas Las Palmas 3-2 HT 2-0 Albacete Albacete İS2
28.10.2020 Albacete Albacete 1-1 HT 1-0 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS2
24.06.2020 Albacete Albacete 0-0 HT 0-0 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS2

Albacete 2-1 Las Palmas — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Albacete
2-1
AWAY Las Palmas
2.13 xG 1.43
42% Ball Possession 58%
19 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
331 Passes 511
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
24 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Albacete vs Las Palmas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Albacete nicked a narrow win over Las Palmas 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (33% / 28% / 39%) promised a tight game; Albacete found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Albacete had 42% of the ball to Las Palmas's 58%, shots finished 19-9, expected goals 2.13 to 1.43.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Las Palmas led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Albacete and 1.50 for Las Palmas.

What was the final score of Albacete vs Las Palmas?

Albacete 2-1 Las Palmas in the Spain - 2nd Division on 16/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Albacete vs Las Palmas?

Before kick-off our model rated an Las Palmas win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Albacete 33%, draw 28%, Las Palmas 39%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Las Palmas), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Las Palmas) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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