Palmeiras 1-0 Mirassol FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 16 Mar 2026

Palmeiras
1 - 0 HT 1 - 0
Mirassol FC
📅16/03/2026 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2026

Palmeiras vs Mirassol FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
60%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
17%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
1.91
Over
51%
1.84
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
25%
3.34
2-3
46%
1.76
4-5
23%
3.31
6+
6%
12.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
2.11
1/2
1%
34.0
1/X
5%
14.0
X/1
20%
4.19
X/2
7%
9.92
X/X
13%
5.09
2/1 ✗
3%
23.1
2/2
9%
7.96
2/X
5%
15.75
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.1 — our 3% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Palmeiras v Mirassol FC — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Palmeiras The Market 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Mirassol FC The Market 22%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.92 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.02
0.80 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.74
Weak Attack Strength Average
Strong Defense Strength Strong
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
379 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 80%
25 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22
24 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2

Palmeiras vs Mirassol FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Palmeiras
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Mirassol FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.93 xG 1.07
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
380 Passes 278
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 20
23 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
10.11.2025 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC 2-1 HT 2-1 Palmeiras Palmeiras BR1
17.07.2025 Palmeiras Palmeiras 1-1 HT 0-0 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC BR1
02.02.2023 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Palmeiras Palmeiras BREPAU
26.04.2021 Palmeiras Palmeiras 1-2 HT 0-1 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC BREPAU
16.02.2020 Palmeiras Palmeiras 3-1 HT 0-0 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC BREPAU
09.03.2019 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Palmeiras Palmeiras BREPAU

Palmeiras 1-0 Mirassol FC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Palmeiras
1 - 0
AWAY Mirassol FC
0.52 xG 0.65
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
303 Passes 424
84% Pass Accuracy 89%
12 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Palmeiras vs Mirassol FC
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Palmeiras squeezed past Mirassol FC 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Palmeiras as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 51% and both teams to score at 51%.

The match data tells the story: Mirassol FC saw more of the ball, 57% to 43%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 0.52 to 0.65.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.50 a game for Palmeiras against 1.17 for Mirassol FC.

Palmeiras vs Mirassol FC Result & Final Score

Palmeiras 1 - 0 Mirassol FC in the Brazil - Serie A on 16/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Palmeiras vs Mirassol FC Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Palmeiras win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Palmeiras 60%, draw 23%, Mirassol FC 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Palmeiras) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Palmeiras) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BR1 More Brazil - Serie A
16 Mar 2026
00:30 Coritiba vs Remo Analysis →
02:30 Cruzeiro vs Vasco da Gama Analysis →
02:30 Bragantino vs Sao Paulo Analysis →