Palmeiras 1-1 Mirassol FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 17 Jul 2025

Palmeiras
1-1 HT 0-0
Mirassol FC
📅17/07/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2025

Palmeiras vs Mirassol FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.43
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
24%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.75
Over 2.5
44%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.29
No
52%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.86
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
3.92
6+ Goals
9%
17.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1.75
1/2
8%
35.0
1/X
11%
19.6
X/1
20%
3.67
X/2
8%
14.95
X/X
8%
5.39
2/1
7%
27.5
2/2
8%
14.25
2/X
7%
22.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
66%
-15.6pp
26%
Draw
22%
+4.1pp
24%
Away Win
12%
+11.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
53%
+3.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
47%
-3.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
40%
+8.1pp
52%
BTTS No
60%
-8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Palmeiras v Mirassol FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Palmeiras EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Mirassol FC EU Bookmakers 15%
-4% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.93/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.48
-2% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +74%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
370 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 77%
27.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
26.2 Crosses 13.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.2

Palmeiras vs Mirassol FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Palmeiras
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Mirassol FC
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
412 Passes 287
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
The Meetings
02.02.2023 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Palmeiras Palmeiras BREPAU
26.04.2021 Palmeiras Palmeiras 1-2 HT 0-1 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC BREPAU
16.02.2020 Palmeiras Palmeiras 3-1 HT 0-0 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC BREPAU
09.03.2019 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Palmeiras Palmeiras BREPAU
11.02.2018 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Palmeiras Palmeiras BREPAU
23.03.2017 Palmeiras Palmeiras 2-0 HT 0-0 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC BREPAU

Palmeiras 1-1 Mirassol FC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Palmeiras
1-1
AWAY Mirassol FC
0.73 xG 0.89
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 3
317 Passes 302
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
27 Box Touches 14
21 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Palmeiras vs Mirassol FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Palmeiras and Mirassol FC couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Palmeiras at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Palmeiras had 52% of the ball to Mirassol FC's 48%, shots finished 16-4, expected goals 0.73 to 0.89.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Palmeiras had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Palmeiras and 0.67 for Mirassol FC.

What was the final score of Palmeiras vs Mirassol FC?

Palmeiras 1-1 Mirassol FC in the Brazil - Serie A on 17/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Palmeiras vs Mirassol FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Palmeiras win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Palmeiras 50%, draw 26%, Mirassol FC 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Palmeiras), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Palmeiras) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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