Santos 1-0 Flamengo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 17 Jul 2025

Santos
1-0 HT 0-0
Flamengo
📅17/07/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2025

Santos vs Flamengo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
3.75
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
52%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.56
Over 2.5
44%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.09
No
53%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
6%
X/2
20%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
26%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
23%
-3.2pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.4pp
52%
Away Win
49%
+3.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
60%
-4.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
40%
+4.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.1pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Santos v Flamengo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santos EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Flamengo EU Bookmakers 53%
+2% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +1%
1.41/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.12
+20% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -27%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
307 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 80%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.8
17.9 Crosses 16.9
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.4

Santos vs Flamengo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santos
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Flamengo
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.87 xG 2.16
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
310 Passes 464
82% Pass Accuracy 87%
18 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.11.2023 Flamengo Flamengo 1-2 HT 1-1 Santos Santos BR1
26.06.2023 Santos Santos 2-3 HT 1-1 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
26.10.2022 Flamengo Flamengo 3-2 HT 1-0 Santos Santos BR1
03.07.2022 Santos Santos 1-2 HT 0-1 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
07.12.2021 Flamengo Flamengo 0-1 HT 0-0 Santos Santos BR1
29.08.2021 Santos Santos 0-4 HT 0-0 Flamengo Flamengo BR1

Santos 1-0 Flamengo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santos
1-0
AWAY Flamengo
1.21 xG 0.67
26% Ball Possession 74%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 8
190 Passes 638
78% Pass Accuracy 90%
11 Box Touches 25
9 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Santos vs Flamengo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santos nicked a narrow win over Flamengo 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Flamengo at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Santos had 26% of the ball to Flamengo's 74%, shots finished 8-10, expected goals 1.21 to 0.67.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Flamengo led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Santos and 2.17 for Flamengo.

What was the final score of Santos vs Flamengo?

Santos 1-0 Flamengo in the Brazil - Serie A on 17/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santos vs Flamengo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Flamengo win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Santos 20%, draw 28%, Flamengo 52%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Flamengo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Flamengo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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