Ceara 0-1 Corinthians — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 17 Jul 2025

Ceara
0-1 HT 0-0
Corinthians
📅17/07/2025 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2025

Ceara vs Corinthians Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.33
Draw
30%
2.83
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.44
Over 2.5
38%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.27
No
61%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
1.99
2-3 Goals
36%
1.83
4-5 Goals
19%
6.36
6+ Goals
8%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.66
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
8%
14.9
X/1
14%
4.86
X/2
13%
6.19
X/X
16%
3.36
2/1
9%
35.0
2/2
10%
5.27
2/X
6%
15.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
39%
+0.9pp
30%
Draw
32%
-1.5pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+0.6pp
62%
Under 2.5
66%
-4.0pp
38%
Over 2.5
34%
+4.0pp
39%
BTTS Yes
40%
-0.5pp
61%
BTTS No
60%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ceara v Corinthians — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ceara EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Corinthians EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -14%
1.34/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.41
-11% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +5%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
312 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 80%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
21.7 Crosses 16.3
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7

Ceara vs Corinthians Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ceara
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Corinthians
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.34 xG 1.41
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
316 Passes 432
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.11.2022 Corinthians Corinthians 1-0 HT 0-0 Ceara Ceara BR1
17.07.2022 Ceara Ceara 3-1 HT 2-1 Corinthians Corinthians BR1
26.11.2021 Ceara Ceara 2-1 HT 1-0 Corinthians Corinthians BR1
15.08.2021 Corinthians Corinthians 3-1 HT 2-0 Ceara Ceara BR1
04.02.2021 Corinthians Corinthians 2-1 HT 2-1 Ceara Ceara BR1
12.10.2020 Ceara Ceara 2-1 HT 1-1 Corinthians Corinthians BR1

Ceara 0-1 Corinthians — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ceara
0-1
AWAY Corinthians
0.73 xG 0.90
45% Ball Possession 55%
16 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
283 Passes 365
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
23 Box Touches 8
26 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ceara vs Corinthians
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Corinthians nicked a narrow win over Ceara 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 30% / 30%) promised a tight game; Corinthians found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Ceara had 45% of the ball to Corinthians's 55%, shots finished 16-5, expected goals 0.73 to 0.90.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Ceara and 1.50 for Corinthians.

What was the final score of Ceara vs Corinthians?

Ceara 0-1 Corinthians in the Brazil - Serie A on 17/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ceara vs Corinthians?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ceara win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Ceara 40%, draw 30%, Corinthians 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Ceara) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ceara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BR1 More Brazil - Serie A
17 Jul 2025
01:00 Palmeiras vs Mirassol FC Analysis →
02:00 Santos vs Flamengo Analysis →
03:30 Botafogo vs Vitoria Analysis →
03:30 Bragantino vs Sao Paulo Analysis →