Botafogo 0-0 Vitoria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 17 Jul 2025

📅17/07/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.42
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
18%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.75
Over 2.5
42%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.33
No
60%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
2.84
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
3.94
6+ Goals
9%
18.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.84 — our 30% vs market 28.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.71
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
7%
20.55
X/1
20%
3.62
X/2
5%
15.95
X/X
11%
5.47
2/1
8%
28.0
2/2
7%
15.5
2/X
5%
24.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
67%
-8.5pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.1pp
18%
Away Win
12%
+6.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
53%
+4.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
47%
-4.4pp
40%
BTTS Yes
39%
+1.6pp
60%
BTTS No
61%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Botafogo EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Vitoria EU Bookmakers 14%
-3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +10%
1.72/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.31
+10% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / +2%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
405 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 75%
28.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.2
24.7 Crosses 17.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Botafogo
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Vitoria
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.44 xG 0.85
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
377 Passes 307
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 13
21 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
24.11.2024 Botafogo Botafogo 1-1 HT 0-1 Vitoria Vitoria BR1
12.07.2024 Vitoria Vitoria 0-1 HT 0-0 Botafogo Botafogo BR1
23.05.2024 Vitoria Vitoria 1-2 HT 0-1 Botafogo Botafogo BRK
03.05.2024 Botafogo Botafogo 1-0 HT 0-0 Vitoria Vitoria BRK
30.09.2021 Vitoria Vitoria 0-0 HT 0-0 Botafogo Botafogo BR2
01.07.2021 Botafogo Botafogo 1-0 HT 0-0 Vitoria Vitoria BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Botafogo
0-0
AWAY Vitoria
1.72 xG 0.16
65% Ball Possession 35%
23 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 5
535 Passes 257
89% Pass Accuracy 80%
34 Box Touches 5
37 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Botafogo vs Vitoria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botafogo and Vitoria played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Botafogo at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Botafogo had 65% of the ball to Vitoria's 35%, shots finished 23-8, expected goals 1.72 to 0.16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Botafogo had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Botafogo and 0.33 for Vitoria.

What was the final score of Botafogo vs Vitoria?

Botafogo 0-0 Vitoria in the Brazil - Serie A on 17/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Botafogo vs Vitoria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Botafogo win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Botafogo 58%, draw 23%, Vitoria 18%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Botafogo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Botafogo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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