Vitoria vs Botafogo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Vitoria v Botafogo — Team-Based Signals
Vitoria vs Botafogo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Botafogo
BR2
1-0
HT 0-0
Vitoria
BR2
3-4
HT 1-2
Botafogo
BR1
1-1
HT 1-1
Vitoria
BR1
Vitoria 0-1 Botafogo — Actual Match Statistics
Botafogo nicked a narrow win over Vitoria 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 28% / 39% — and on the day Botafogo made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.
On the day, Vitoria had 46% of the ball to Botafogo's 54%, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 1.02 to 2.35 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Botafogo's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Botafogo led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Vitoria and 1.50 for Botafogo.
What was the final score of Vitoria vs Botafogo?
Vitoria 0-1 Botafogo in the Brazil - Serie A on 12/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Vitoria vs Botafogo?
Before kick-off our model rated an Botafogo win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Vitoria 33%, draw 28%, Botafogo 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Botafogo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.